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Since the October 2017 attacks by alleged Islamist insurgents, commonly referred to as Ahlu Sunnah Wa-Jama and locally know as Al Shabab, on Mocimboa da Praia, it has not been entirely clear who the attackers were, what their strategic objectives are and on whose domestic and international support they rely. This paper, grounded in a historical understanding of conflict in northern Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado Province, seeks to identify possible stakeholders and scenarios in what we no longer see as an insurgency, but a war.

In the past decade, the Mozambican government has been mobilizing international capital to build and renovate transport infrastructure in the central and northern areas of the country, with the aim of creating agricultural corridors. Based on field research conducted in two districts along the Beira and Nacala corridors, I examine those occasions when international capital and national agricultural policy meet smallholders in the implementation of agricultural projects. This article offers a...

Development donors invest significantly in governance reform, including in contexts characterised by conflict and fragility. However, there is relatively little comparative study of their change strategies, and little understanding of what works and why. This paper explores the strategies of six recent DFID-funded programmes in Mozambique, Myanmar, and Pakistan with empowerment and accountability aims. Document review and field interviews are used to analyse the application of multi-scalar...

Mozambique’s debt remains in distress, which is unchanged from the previous DSA published in June 2019. Consideringthat, to a large extent, future borrowingand governmentguarantees reflect state participation in the sizable liquified natural gas (LNG) development, debt is deemed sustainable in a forward-looking sense. Participation in the recently announced G20 initiative would provide debt service relief in the near term, thus flattening the projected sharp deterioration in debt liquidity...

The Coronavirus pandemic arrives in Mozambique at a time when, after several years of modest economic performance, the Mozambican economy was starting to show signs of recovery. Hence, the latest projections of the IMF of November 2019 had the Mozambican economy growing at 6% in 2020, with medium term projections reaching 9% and above after 2023, following the initiation of LNG exploration operations in the north of the country. Despite this improving macroeconomic outlook prior to the...

Um conjunto de contradições internas e de longa duração estruturam as relações socioeconómicas na província, estando em grande medida na origem da conflitualidade actual. Não obstante a crescente interferência de factores externos na dinamização do conflito, os dados disponíveis permitem-nos concluir que, enquanto persistirem elementos internos de contradição, não será possível encontrar uma solução sustentável para o conflito. Não obstante o conflito implicar, inevitavelmente, uma...

Frelimo and President Filipe Nyusi swept away the opposition in the 15 October 2019 general elections, matching Armando Guebuza's 2009 landslide. But there were widespead reports of misconduct. On a 52% turnout, Nyusi won 73% of the vote with over 50% in all provinces. Frelimo won majorities in all provincial parliaments and in the first ever election of governors, Frelimo won all ten.

O impacto do terrorismo em Moçambique é uma realidade que não se restringe apenas à zona Norte do país. O IDeIAS nº 137, da autoria de Moisés Siúta, procura discutir as suas implicações nos sistemas formais de protecção social tendo em conta o desafio que enfrentam de garantir protecção e bem-estar social da população nas regiões mais afectadas sem, no entanto, deixar para trás a população vulnerável a diversos riscos como seca, cheias e a pandemia.

Wildfires are among the biggest factors of ecosystem change. Knowledge of fire regime (fire frequency, severity, intensity, seasonality, and distribution pattern) is an important factor in wildfire management. This paper aims to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of fires and burned areas in the Niassa Reserve between 2002-2015 using MODIS data, active fire product (MCD14ML) and burned area product (MCD64A1). For this, the annual and monthly frequencies, the trend of fires and the frequency...

On 9 December 2005, All ASEAN member countries signed the Agreement to Establish and Implement the ASEAN Single Window. ASEAN Single Window (ASW) is a one window system that connects ASEAN countries or National Single Window (NSW) to facilitate the electronic exchange of customs data that can be used by traders to obtain permits, customs clearance, and other documents. Indonesia has been implementing this Agreement from 2008 with the system of Indonesia National Single Window (INSW) in order...

The Alcançar Baseline Assessment of Facility and District Capacity was conducted to establish an evidence base against which to measure project performance and impact over the life of the project and to inform project priorities and planning. The assessment includes a census of health centers and hospitals in Nampula province - the population of facilities that the project is expected to influence. Trained data collection teams interviewed facility and district staff to collect current...

The development of infrastructure in Africa is critical for fostering economic growth and improving the living standards of Africans. It contributes significantly to human development, poverty reduction, and the attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Investment in infrastructure accounts for over half of the improvements in economic growth in Africa witnessed over the last decade and has the potential to contribute much more, given a conducive environment.

Since initial exploratory drilling in 2007 by U.S. operator Anadarko, Mozambique has uncovered vast natural gas volumes within its offshore basins, and now carries the potential to be the fourth largest natural gas exporter globally. With discoveries ranging from Anadarko’s initial 480 feet of gas found in Area 1 in 2010, to Eni’s discovery of 425 billion cubic meters one year later, the onus now lies on major operators including Royal Dutch Shell, Total, Eni and more to develop the...

O artigo discute duas questões principais. A primeira é sobre o conflito nas relações de poder entre o Governo Municipal e o Governo Distrital na questão das lideranças comunitárias dos bairros do município, onde se procura mostrar a forma como a Frelimo, através do uso do poder de tutela administrativa e financeira do Estado, restringia a governação do Movimento Democrático de Moçambique (MDM), possibilitando a existência de duas estruturas comunitárias conflituantes ao nível dos bairros. A...

This research entitled “The Challenges of Expanding Higher Education and the Formation of Human Capital in Mozambique”, analyzes the quality, sustainability and democratization of Higher Education and its influence on the development of human capital. However, the results of this study show that despite the increase in the number of Universities, in several developing countries, such as Mozambique, many of the poorest people remain in the rural sector and tend to continue there for several...

This chapter looks at the origins of the extremist insurgency in Cabo Delgado and posists that to understand its origins, we must look beyond religious extremeism and to other factors in order to analyse the situation from difference perspectives. This study looked at electoral data in Cabo Delgado to determine if there is a relationship bwtween voting patterns, including abstention, and political cleavages and social conflict.

Scholars and civil society organizations have over the last decade referred to large-scale carbon sequestration TPPs as "carbon colonialism" (Carmody and Taylor, 2016) as well as a "development by dispossession" dressed in new clothing behind words such as climate change mitigation and development (Kröger, 2012). Concerns have been raised that the trade-offs from the implementation of industrial tree plantations (ITPs) may result in conflicting effects on countries' overall development (The...

“Mozambique faces five major challenges: violence between political camps, impunity with regard to corruption, violations of human rights, the debt crisis and the security threat of Islamist terrorism.”

Este capítulo descreve e explica como e por que razão a economia moçambicana e as suas dinâmicas de expansão e de crise, as suas contradições e os seus paradoxos foram estruturados e articulados pela sua relação de dependência com o capital financeiro privado internacional, e as implicações desta relação para as características, as dinâmicas e as opções de acumulação privada de capital e de desenvolvimento da sociedade como um todo em Moçambique.

O artigo concentra-se na análise dos fluxos de bens e serviços, trabalho e capital entre as duas economias, dentro de estruturas de acumulação historicamente específicas, o que permite fazer alguma discussão sobre opções e possibilidades para desenvolvimentos futuros. O artigo argumenta que os vínculos económicos entre os dois países foram construídos ao longo dos anos por causa de forças dinâmicas (ligações e pressões económicas, agentes sociais e políticas públicas) que operam nas duas...